Breaking the Seasonal Trade-Off: The Influence of Neighbourhood Spatial Layout on the Urban Heat Island Intensity and Thermal Comfort in Erbil City

Source abstract

Urban heat stress is a growing challenge in hot semi-arid cities, where neighbourhood urban design influences microclimate and outdoor comfort. This study evaluates the effect of neighbourhood spatial layout in Erbil city, using ENVI-met simulations. Five neighbourhoods with varying layouts were modelled under standardized conditions, including uniform building height, surface characteristics, and meteorological forcing. Hourly outputs of air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, surface temperature, mean radiant temperature, universal thermal climate index, and sky view factor were analyzed after excluding the spin-up period. Results indicate that, while all neighbourhoods exhibited similar diurnal timing of thermal extremes, a key distinctive finding is the identification of a neighbourhood that behaves differently across seasons. The Pavilion neighbourhood remained cooler during summer conditions, while maintaining warmer thermal conditions during winter. This dual seasonal behaviour contrasts with the other neighbourhoods, which generally exhibit a trade-off between reduced summer heat stress and winter cooling. The Pavilion neighbourhood is distinguished by the presence of integrated water lagoons, suggesting that the blue infrastructure, in combination with spatial openness and greenery, can moderate thermal extremes. Overall, the study highlights the importance of neighbourhood-scale spatial design in mitigating urban heat and provides evidence to support the development of sustainable neighbourhoods.